Legal · Free Interactive Tool
Settle vs. Trial Analyzer
Compare a settlement offer to the expected value of trial.
Your Numbers
The Result
The Operator's Read
The settlement beats trial's expected value here. Unless there's a strategic reason, the certain money is the rational choice.
Built by The Crimson Bench · Educational tool, not financial advice
About the Settle vs. Trial Analyzer
Enter the settlement offer, potential trial award, win probability, and trial cost to see which has the higher expected value.
How the Settle vs. Trial Analyzer Works
4 inputs in, 2 results out — computed live on your device. Here's exactly what it uses.
| Input | Example value |
|---|---|
| Settlement offer | $150,000 |
| Potential trial award | $400,000 |
| Win probability | 45% |
| Trial cost | $60,000 |
Worked Example
Using the example inputs above, the tool returns:
Trial expected value
$120,000
Trial edge vs. offer
-$30,000.00
The Operator's Read
The settlement beats trial's expected value here. Unless there's a strategic reason, the certain money is the rational choice.
Assumptions & Limitations
- •This is a single-point calculator — it answers one question at a time. For a full time-based projection, use the matching Toolkit Pro simulator.
- •Defaults are illustrative. Replace them with your real numbers before relying on the result.
- •Educational tool only — not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Settle vs. Trial Analyzer calculate?
Enter the settlement offer, potential trial award, win probability, and trial cost to see which has the higher expected value. It takes 4 inputs — Settlement offer, Potential trial award, Win probability, Trial cost — and returns Trial expected value, Trial edge vs. offer.
How do I use the Settle vs. Trial Analyzer?
Enter your figures in the fields above and the result updates instantly. No signup, no limits, and nothing leaves your browser — the math runs on your device.
Is the Settle vs. Trial Analyzer free?
Yes, completely free. For the full time-based simulation — projection tables, scenarios, Excel/PDF export, and AI analysis — see the matching Toolkit Pro simulator.
Who built this tool?
The Crimson Bench's Ivy League-educated operators — the same people we deploy into C-suites. It uses the exact method they'd apply in an engagement.
Is this financial advice?
No. The Settle vs. Trial Analyzer is an educational tool for directional planning — not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice.
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The Crimson Bench · Est. 2002 · Founded in New York City
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