Legal · Free Interactive Tool
Contingency Fee Expected Value
Should you take the case? Run the expected value.
Your Numbers
The Result
The Operator's Read
Positive EV of about $41,000. You break even at a 15% win probability — take cases comfortably above that line.
Built by The Crimson Bench · Educational tool, not financial advice
About the Contingency Fee Expected Value
Enter the potential recovery, win probability, contingency percentage, and case cost to see the expected value and break-even win probability.
How the Contingency Fee Expected Value Works
4 inputs in, 2 results out — computed live on your device. Here's exactly what it uses.
| Input | Example value |
|---|---|
| Potential recovery | $500,000 |
| Win probability | 40% |
| Contingency fee | 33% |
| Case cost to firm | $25,000 |
Worked Example
Using the example inputs above, the tool returns:
Expected value
$41,000
Break-even win prob.
15.2%
The Operator's Read
Positive EV of about $41,000. You break even at a 15% win probability — take cases comfortably above that line.
Assumptions & Limitations
- •This is a single-point calculator — it answers one question at a time. For a full time-based projection, use the matching Toolkit Pro simulator.
- •Defaults are illustrative. Replace them with your real numbers before relying on the result.
- •Educational tool only — not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Contingency Fee Expected Value calculate?
Enter the potential recovery, win probability, contingency percentage, and case cost to see the expected value and break-even win probability. It takes 4 inputs — Potential recovery, Win probability, Contingency fee, Case cost to firm — and returns Expected value, Break-even win prob..
How do I use the Contingency Fee Expected Value?
Enter your figures in the fields above and the result updates instantly. No signup, no limits, and nothing leaves your browser — the math runs on your device.
Is the Contingency Fee Expected Value free?
Yes, completely free. For the full time-based simulation — projection tables, scenarios, Excel/PDF export, and AI analysis — see the matching Toolkit Pro simulator.
Who built this tool?
The Crimson Bench's Ivy League-educated operators — the same people we deploy into C-suites. It uses the exact method they'd apply in an engagement.
Is this financial advice?
No. The Contingency Fee Expected Value is an educational tool for directional planning — not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice.
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The Crimson Bench · Est. 2002 · Founded in New York City
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