The Crimson Bench

ProCrypto · Simulator

Token Unlock / Sell-Pressure Simulator

How vesting unlocks dilute a token.

Assumptions

Circulating (mo 12)

560,000,000

% of total (mo 12)

56%

Monthly unlock / circ

15%

MonthCirculating% of TotalUnlock / Circ
Month 2260,000,00026%12%
Month 4320,000,00032%9%
Month 6380,000,00038%8%
Month 8440,000,00044%7%
Month 10500,000,00050%6%
Month 12560,000,00056%5%

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Every row, plus Excel/PDF export and AI analysis.

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Toolkit Pro

Save your scenarios, export to Excel & PDF, run AI analysis, and unlock every simulator — $180/mo, $1,728/yr, or any 3 for $20.

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Built by The Crimson Bench · Educational model, not financial advice

About the Token Unlock / Sell-Pressure Simulator

Model monthly token unlocks growing the circulating supply to see the sell pressure they add over time.

It's built for directional planning: change any assumption and watch the whole projection move, the way a seasoned operator pressure-tests a plan before committing capital. Everything is computed live in your browser — nothing is sent anywhere.

How the Token Unlock / Sell-Pressure Simulator Works

The model takes 3 assumptions and returns 3 headline metrics plus a full breakdown. Here is exactly what goes in and what comes out — no black box.

The Inputs

AssumptionExample value
Total supply1,000,000,000
Circulating now200,000,000
Monthly unlock30,000,000

Worked Example

Every figure below is produced by the live model using the example assumptions above. Change any input in the simulator to see your own numbers.

Circulating (mo 12)

560,000,000

% of total (mo 12)

56%

Monthly unlock / circ

15%

MonthCirculating% of TotalUnlock / Circ
Month 2260,000,00026%12%
Month 4320,000,00032%9%
Month 6380,000,00038%8%
Month 8440,000,00044%7%
Month 10500,000,00050%6%
Month 12560,000,00056%5%

The Operator's Read

Unlocks add new supply that can be sold — when the monthly unlock is large relative to circulating supply, it's persistent sell pressure. Big "cliff" unlocks often precede price drops. Check vesting schedules before buying. Educational only.

Assumptions & Limitations

  • The model is deterministic: it projects your inputs forward with clear arithmetic, not a Monte-Carlo or probabilistic forecast. It shows one scenario at a time — run several to bracket a range.
  • Defaults are illustrative benchmarks, not your business. Replace every field with your real numbers before drawing conclusions.
  • It abstracts away taxes, financing, seasonality, and one-off events unless a field explicitly captures them. Treat the output as a directional estimate.
  • This is an educational tool, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Validate real decisions with a qualified professional.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Token Unlock / Sell-Pressure Simulator calculate?

Model monthly token unlocks growing the circulating supply to see the sell pressure they add over time. It takes 3 assumptions — Total supply, Circulating now, Monthly unlock — and returns Circulating (mo 12), % of total (mo 12), Monthly unlock / circ, along with a full projection table you can export.

How do I use the Token Unlock / Sell-Pressure Simulator?

Enter your own figures in the input fields above — Total supply, Circulating now, Monthly unlock, and the rest. The model recalculates instantly and shows the resulting Circulating (mo 12) and full breakdown. No sign-up needed to run it.

Is the Token Unlock / Sell-Pressure Simulator free?

Yes — you can run the simulator and see the headline results for free. Toolkit Pro unlocks the full projection table, Excel/PDF export, saved scenarios, and AI analysis: $180/mo, $1,728/yr, or unlock any 3 simulators for $20.

What's the difference between this and a free calculator?

A calculator answers one question. This simulator models the full picture — multiple linked assumptions, a projection table, and scenario comparison — the way an operator would build it in a spreadsheet, but instantly.

Who built the Token Unlock / Sell-Pressure Simulator?

The Crimson Bench's Ivy League-educated operators — the same people we deploy into C-suites. This is the self-serve version of a model they'd build inside a live engagement.

Is this financial advice?

No. The Token Unlock / Sell-Pressure Simulator is an educational modeling tool for directional planning — not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Validate any real decision with a qualified professional.

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The Crimson Bench · Est. 2002 · Founded in New York City

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