ProBetting · Simulator
House Edge Simulator
The math of why the house always wins.
Assumptions
Expected loss
$324
Total wagered
$12,000
Loss per hour
$81
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Total wagered | $12,000 |
| House edge | 3% |
| Expected loss | $324 |
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Built by The Crimson Bench · Educational model, not financial advice
About the House Edge Simulator
Enter bet size, pace, and the game’s house edge to see your mathematically expected loss over a session. An odds-awareness tool.
It's built for directional planning: change any assumption and watch the whole projection move, the way a seasoned operator pressure-tests a plan before committing capital. Everything is computed live in your browser — nothing is sent anywhere.
How the House Edge Simulator Works
The model takes 4 assumptions and returns 3 headline metrics plus a full breakdown. Here is exactly what goes in and what comes out — no black box.
The Inputs
| Assumption | Example value |
|---|---|
| Average bet | $50 |
| Bets per hour | 60 |
| House edge | 2.7% |
| Hours played | 4 |
Worked Example
Every figure below is produced by the live model using the example assumptions above. Change any input in the simulator to see your own numbers.
Expected loss
$324
Total wagered
$12,000
Loss per hour
$81
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Total wagered | $12,000 |
| House edge | 3% |
| Expected loss | $324 |
The Operator's Read
The house edge guarantees that, over time, the math favors the casino — the longer you play, the closer your results move to this expected loss. Gamble only for entertainment with money you can afford to lose, never as income. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-522-4700 (US).
Assumptions & Limitations
- •The model is deterministic: it projects your inputs forward with clear arithmetic, not a Monte-Carlo or probabilistic forecast. It shows one scenario at a time — run several to bracket a range.
- •Defaults are illustrative benchmarks, not your business. Replace every field with your real numbers before drawing conclusions.
- •It abstracts away taxes, financing, seasonality, and one-off events unless a field explicitly captures them. Treat the output as a directional estimate.
- •This is an educational tool, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Validate real decisions with a qualified professional.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the House Edge Simulator calculate?
Enter bet size, pace, and the game’s house edge to see your mathematically expected loss over a session. An odds-awareness tool. It takes 4 assumptions — Average bet, Bets per hour, House edge, Hours played — and returns Expected loss, Total wagered, Loss per hour, along with a full projection table you can export.
How do I use the House Edge Simulator?
Enter your own figures in the input fields above — Average bet, Bets per hour, House edge, and the rest. The model recalculates instantly and shows the resulting Expected loss and full breakdown. No sign-up needed to run it.
Is the House Edge Simulator free?
Yes — you can run the simulator and see the headline results for free. Toolkit Pro unlocks the full projection table, Excel/PDF export, saved scenarios, and AI analysis: $180/mo, $1,728/yr, or unlock any 3 simulators for $20.
What's the difference between this and a free calculator?
A calculator answers one question. This simulator models the full picture — multiple linked assumptions, a projection table, and scenario comparison — the way an operator would build it in a spreadsheet, but instantly.
Who built the House Edge Simulator?
The Crimson Bench's Ivy League-educated operators — the same people we deploy into C-suites. This is the self-serve version of a model they'd build inside a live engagement.
Is this financial advice?
No. The House Edge Simulator is an educational modeling tool for directional planning — not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Validate any real decision with a qualified professional.
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The Crimson Bench · Est. 2002 · Founded in New York City
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