The Crimson Bench

Glossary / finance

LTV

Customer Lifetime Value—the total net present value of revenue (or gross profit) expected from a customer relationship over its full duration.

Full Definition

Customer Lifetime Value quantifies the total economic value a business can expect to generate from a single customer relationship from acquisition through churn. The simplest formulation divides average annual revenue per customer by the annual churn rate to calculate average customer lifespan, then multiplies by gross margin to convert revenue to profit. More sophisticated models incorporate expansion revenue trajectories, apply a discount rate to reflect the time value of money, and segment by customer cohort to reflect differing retention dynamics across the base. LTV is most meaningfully calculated on a gross profit basis (LTV on gross margin rather than revenue) because this captures the actual economic return on customer acquisition investment, not just the top-line scale. A SaaS business with 70% gross margins and $50,000 annual contract value generating a 5-year average customer lifespan has gross profit LTV of approximately $175,000 per customer. This becomes the numerator in the LTV/CAC ratio, the benchmark investors use to assess go-to-market efficiency. The most common LTV calculation mistake is using simple averages that obscure customer heterogeneity. Enterprise customers often have LTV 10–50x higher than SMB customers due to larger contract values, lower churn, and higher expansion potential. Mixing these cohorts in a single LTV figure creates a misleading blended number that drives poor investment decisions across segments. Best practice builds separate LTV models by customer segment, uses actual cohort survival curves rather than assumed churn rates, and refreshes the analysis quarterly as new retention data accumulates.

FAQs

Should LTV be calculated on revenue or gross profit?

Always gross profit. LTV on revenue ignores the cost of delivering the product or service, overstating the economic return on customer investment. A SaaS company with 80% gross margins has an LTV of 80% of its revenue-based LTV. Hardware companies with 30% margins have LTV dramatically lower than their revenue number suggests, changing the entire unit economics picture.

What discount rate should be used in LTV calculations?

Most practitioners use the company's WACC or a reasonable proxy—10–15% for growth-stage companies is common. Early-stage companies sometimes use higher discount rates (20–30%) reflecting higher risk. The discount rate matters more for long customer lifespans; for businesses with average customer lives under 3 years, the difference between discounted and undiscounted LTV is modest.

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